Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.5%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Richards 50.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 65.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 70.6%
Neutral zone
Boyle 52.4%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Boyle
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Boyle
Richards
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Boyle
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
5
Boyle
Richards
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
50.0% (3,722)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
54.6% (445)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
51.4% (502)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Boyle
Richards
Home
52.2% (3,521)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Boyle
Richards
P1
51.3%
49.6%
P2
51.1%
52.3%
P3
50.4%
49.3%
OT
55.3%
58.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Mike Richards |