Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.8%). Look for Rupp on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Rupp 51.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rupp 63.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 71.2%
Neutral zone
Boyle 53.1%
Result
Mike Rupp favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Boyle
Rupp
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Boyle
Rupp
Last 8: Boyle 4-4 Rupp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rupp
1
4
Boyle
Rupp
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Rupp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Rupp
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Rupp
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
52.4% (187)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
48.6% (35)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
33.3% (3)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rupp shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Rupp is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Boyle
Rupp
Home
52.2% (3,521)
45.7% (127)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
59.6% (99)
By Period
Boyle
Rupp
P1
51.3%
44.8%
P2
51.1%
59.8%
P3
50.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mike Rupp |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Mike Rupp |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Mike Rupp |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Mike Rupp |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |