Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 76.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 71.6%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 59.0%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Boyle
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Boyle
Santorelli
Last 10: Boyle 3-7 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
6
Boyle
Santorelli
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
3
Boyle
Santorelli
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
4
5
Boyle
Santorelli
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
48.4% (1,835)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
56.0% (298)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
48.5% (132)
-2.3%
On even strength, Boyle has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Boyle
Santorelli
Home
52.2% (3,521)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Boyle
Santorelli
P1
51.3%
51.0%
P2
51.1%
49.7%
P3
50.4%
47.6%
OT
55.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |