Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.3%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Frost 50.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 77.6%
Defensive zone
Boyle 78.6%
Neutral zone
Boyle 52.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Boyle
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Boyle
Frost
Last 6: Boyle 2-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Boyle
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
49.4% (3,598)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
55.5% (625)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
52.8% (36)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Boyle
Frost
Home
52.2% (3,521)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Boyle
Frost
P1
51.3%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
51.1%
P3
50.4%
48.5%
OT
55.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |