Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Frost 48.7% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 57.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 73.5%
Neutral zone
Boyle 60.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Boyle
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Boyle
Frost
Last 6: Boyle 2-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Boyle
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
47.4% (426)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
63.9% (36)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
20.0% (5)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Boyle
Frost
Home
44.2% (199)
51.1% (221)
Away
46.4% (166)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Boyle
Frost
P1
48.6%
47.5%
P2
40.4%
52.3%
P3
46.4%
44.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |