Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Backstrom 46.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 75.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 75.3%
Neutral zone
Boyle 51.9%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Boyle
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Boyle
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Boyle
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Boyle
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
47.0% (541)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
47.4% (95)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
15.4% (13)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Boyle
Backstrom
Home
44.2% (199)
48.5% (328)
Away
46.4% (166)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Boyle
Backstrom
P1
48.6%
44.8%
P2
40.4%
42.9%
P3
46.4%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |