Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivula on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Koivula 45.8% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivula 62.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 69.2%
Neutral zone
Boyle 55.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Boyle
Koivula
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyle
Koivula
Last 6: Boyle 3-3 Koivula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivula
2
3
Boyle
Koivula
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Koivula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Koivula
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
42.3% (123)
+9.4%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
28.6% (7)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
62.5% (8)
-16.3%
On power play, Boyle has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivula shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Koivula is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Boyle
Koivula
Home
52.2% (3,521)
42.6% (101)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
43.2% (37)
By Period
Boyle
Koivula
P1
51.3%
34.8%
P2
51.1%
61.7%
P3
50.4%
31.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Koivula
54.0%▲
42.8%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |