Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivula on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Koivula 47.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivula 70.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 71.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 54.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Boyle
Koivula
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyle
Koivula
Last 6: Boyle 3-3 Koivula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivula
2
3
Boyle
Koivula
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Koivula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Koivula
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
42.0% (50)
+5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
100.0% (1)
-64.8%
On penalty kill, Koivula has a +64.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivula shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Koivula is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Boyle
Koivula
Home
44.2% (199)
43.8% (48)
Away
46.4% (166)
25.0% (4)
By Period
Boyle
Koivula
P1
48.6%
37.5%
P2
40.4%
52.6%
P3
46.4%
35.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
23.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Koivula
54.0%▲
42.8%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |