Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyle wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 71.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 73.7%
Neutral zone
Boyle 74.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Boyle
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Boyle
Bergeron
Last 7: Boyle 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Boyle
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Boyle
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
62.6% (660)
-6.9%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
59.8% (97)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
61.4% (127)
+2.0%
On power play, Bergeron has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyle is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Boyle shoots left. Bergeron is 64.6% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Boyle
Bergeron
Home
58.5% (205)
67.0% (443)
Away
54.0% (176)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Boyle
Bergeron
P1
60.0%
63.7%
P2
54.9%
60.0%
P3
55.3%
63.2%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |