Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 76.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 72.7%
Neutral zone
Boyle 60.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Boyle
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyle
Bergeron
Last 5: Boyle 2-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Boyle
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
63.8% (1,102)
-16.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
65.3% (288)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
47.6% (210)
-12.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Boyle
Bergeron
Home
44.2% (199)
62.5% (882)
Away
46.4% (166)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Boyle
Bergeron
P1
48.6%
62.5%
P2
40.4%
62.7%
P3
46.4%
60.6%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.6%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |