Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 88.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 85.8%
Neutral zone
Boyle 87.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Boyle
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Boyle
Bergeron
Last 10: Boyle 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Boyle
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyle
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Boyle
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
57.0% (1,376)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
62.8% (323)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
51.3% (279)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyle is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Boyle shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Home / Away
Boyle
Bergeron
Home
52.4% (315)
59.1% (986)
Away
49.3% (367)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Boyle
Bergeron
P1
51.1%
55.5%
P2
52.6%
58.0%
P3
48.3%
57.9%
OT
100.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |