Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 48.6% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 80.6%
Defensive zone
Boyle 82.4%
Neutral zone
Boyle 86.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Boyle
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Boyle
Gaustad
Last 10: Boyle 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
6
Boyle
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Boyle
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (862)
58.6% (790)
-8.9%
Power Play
43.1% (65)
66.7% (93)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (160)
61.0% (269)
-16.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Boyle is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (717).
Boyle shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Boyle
Gaustad
Home
48.0% (537)
60.6% (554)
Away
48.9% (564)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Boyle
Gaustad
P1
46.9%
61.3%
P2
48.8%
55.5%
P3
49.5%
62.3%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
48.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |