Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 85.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 75.0%
Neutral zone
Boyle 78.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Boyle
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Boyle
Gaustad
Last 10: Boyle 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
9
Boyle
Gaustad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
2
Boyle
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
5
4
Boyle
Gaustad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
58.2% (4,334)
-6.5%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
65.4% (188)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
54.8% (1,290)
-8.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Boyle
Gaustad
Home
52.2% (3,521)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Boyle
Gaustad
P1
51.3%
58.2%
P2
51.1%
56.4%
P3
50.4%
58.3%
OT
55.3%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |