Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 74.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 59.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Boyle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Boyle
Stastny
Last 10: Boyle 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
7
Boyle
Stastny
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
6
3
Boyle
Stastny
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Boyle
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
59.1% (1,994)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Boyle
Stastny
Home
52.2% (3,521)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Boyle
Stastny
P1
51.3%
56.3%
P2
51.1%
55.4%
P3
50.4%
53.5%
OT
55.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |