Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 72.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 68.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Boyle
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Boyle
Zacha
Last 9: Boyle 3-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Boyle
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Boyle
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Boyle
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
48.9% (5,102)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
55.6% (804)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
42.2% (555)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Boyle
Zacha
Home
52.2% (3,521)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Boyle
Zacha
P1
51.3%
49.9%
P2
51.1%
49.2%
P3
50.4%
48.1%
OT
55.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |