Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Zacha 50.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 79.3%
Neutral zone
Boyle 61.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Boyle
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Boyle
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Boyle
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Boyle
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
48.0% (296)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
61.0% (59)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
50.0% (22)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Boyle
Zacha
Home
44.2% (199)
48.9% (223)
Away
46.4% (166)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Boyle
Zacha
P1
48.6%
47.9%
P2
40.4%
48.3%
P3
46.4%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |