Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Kesler 58.0% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 79.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 80.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 81.6%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Boyle
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Boyle
Kesler
Last 8: Boyle 1-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Boyle
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Boyle
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Boyle
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
58.6% (1,138)
-6.0%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
64.5% (186)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
55.0% (351)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Boyle is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Boyle shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Boyle
Kesler
Home
52.4% (315)
61.0% (859)
Away
49.3% (367)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Boyle
Kesler
P1
51.1%
59.1%
P2
52.6%
56.5%
P3
48.3%
60.5%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |