Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 25-18 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 80.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 78.7%
Neutral zone
Boyle 80.7%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Boyle
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
25
(43 meetings)
18
25
Boyle
Kesler
Last 10: Boyle 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Boyle
Kesler
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
8
Boyle
Kesler
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
7
Boyle
Kesler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
56.4% (8,095)
-4.7%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
50.5% (1,908)
-4.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Boyle
Kesler
Home
52.2% (3,521)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Boyle
Kesler
P1
51.3%
56.5%
P2
51.1%
55.9%
P3
50.4%
56.1%
OT
55.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 17, 2017 | OT | 00:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |