Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Poehling 47.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 81.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 50.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 63.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Boyle
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Boyle
Poehling
Last 7: Boyle 5-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
2
Boyle
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
45.1% (437)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.4% (39)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
61.5% (13)
-26.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Boyle
Poehling
Home
44.2% (199)
46.6% (232)
Away
46.4% (166)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Boyle
Poehling
P1
48.6%
43.9%
P2
40.4%
49.1%
P3
46.4%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |