Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Gagner 47.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 50.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 50.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 50.9%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Boyle
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Boyle
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Boyle
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
51.3% (158)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
66.7% (36)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
33.6% (110)
+1.6%
On power play, Gagner has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Boyle
Gagner
Home
44.2% (199)
53.2% (154)
Away
46.4% (166)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Boyle
Gagner
P1
48.6%
35.6%
P2
40.4%
52.7%
P3
46.4%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |