Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.0%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 23-23 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 71.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 76.2%
Neutral zone
Boyle 50.9%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Boyle
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
23
(46 meetings)
23
23
Boyle
Stamkos
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
10
Boyle
Stamkos
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
10
7
Boyle
Stamkos
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
8
6
Boyle
Stamkos
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
50.4% (9,799)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
55.1% (1,725)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
49.7% (825)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Boyle
Stamkos
Home
52.2% (3,521)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Boyle
Stamkos
P1
51.3%
49.1%
P2
51.1%
52.7%
P3
50.4%
50.9%
OT
55.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |