Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 67.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 87.5%
Neutral zone
Boyle 75.5%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Boyle
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Boyle
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Boyle
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Boyle
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
49.3% (789)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.9% (181)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
54.1% (98)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Boyle
Stamkos
Home
44.2% (199)
52.0% (512)
Away
46.4% (166)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Boyle
Stamkos
P1
48.6%
42.1%
P2
40.4%
56.4%
P3
46.4%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |