Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 48.6% vs Smith 53.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 55.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 68.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 61.5%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Boyle
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Boyle
Smith
Last 8: Boyle 3-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Boyle
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (862)
58.1% (322)
-8.4%
Power Play
43.1% (65)
36.8% (19)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (160)
32.6% (46)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Boyle is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (717).
Boyle shoots left. Smith is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Boyle
Smith
Home
48.0% (537)
58.8% (204)
Away
48.9% (564)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Boyle
Smith
P1
46.9%
52.9%
P2
48.8%
56.3%
P3
49.5%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
48.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Zack Smith |