Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 51.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 58.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Boyle
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
19
(36 meetings)
17
19
Boyle
Smith
Last 10: Boyle 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
6
8
Boyle
Smith
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
7
5
Boyle
Smith
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
4
6
Boyle
Smith
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
51.6% (5,265)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
51.2% (342)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
45.3% (985)
+0.9%
On power play, Boyle has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Boyle
Smith
Home
52.2% (3,521)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Boyle
Smith
P1
51.3%
49.9%
P2
51.1%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
51.9%
OT
55.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |