Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyle wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Smith 51.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 62.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 51.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Boyle
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyle
Smith
Last 5: Boyle 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
2
Boyle
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
52.6% (635)
+3.1%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
45.5% (44)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
48.1% (52)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Boyle is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Boyle shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Boyle
Smith
Home
58.5% (205)
53.4% (371)
Away
54.0% (176)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Boyle
Smith
P1
60.0%
50.2%
P2
54.9%
52.2%
P3
55.3%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |