Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Nelson 48.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 76.5%
Defensive zone
Flynn 66.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Flynn
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Flynn
Nelson
Last 10: Flynn 3-7 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
4
Flynn
Nelson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Flynn
Nelson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
47.8% (9,510)
+2.4%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
54.1% (1,082)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
43.5% (728)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Flynn
Nelson
Home
50.8% (661)
49.8% (5,696)
Away
48.8% (642)
46.4% (5,625)
By Period
Flynn
Nelson
P1
47.3%
48.6%
P2
51.8%
48.4%
P3
50.0%
47.4%
OT
58.3%
46.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 27, 2014 | OT | 02:01 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |