Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.8% vs Thornton 50.8% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 86.7%
Defensive zone
Flynn 52.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 78.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Flynn
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Flynn
Thornton
Last 8: Flynn 6-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
1
Flynn
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
4
0
Flynn
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Flynn
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (102)
49.8% (544)
+0.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.5% (178)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
46.7% (15)
-11.8%
On power play, Flynn has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Flynn is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Flynn shoots right. Thornton is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Flynn
Thornton
Home
52.1% (71)
54.9% (355)
Away
41.0% (78)
47.1% (382)
By Period
Flynn
Thornton
P1
45.1%
46.0%
P2
40.0%
52.5%
P3
51.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
34.1%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
46.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |