Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Thornton 54.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Flynn leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 92.7%
Defensive zone
Thornton 55.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 79.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Flynn
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Flynn
Thornton
Last 10: Flynn 7-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
1
Flynn
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
5
1
Flynn
Thornton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Flynn
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
53.5% (6,640)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
57.2% (1,387)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
56.7% (427)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Flynn
Thornton
Home
50.8% (661)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.8% (642)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Flynn
Thornton
P1
47.3%
55.0%
P2
51.8%
53.3%
P3
50.0%
54.4%
OT
58.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |