Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Hayes 47.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.8%
Defensive zone
Flynn 67.8%
Neutral zone
Flynn 52.3%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Flynn
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Flynn
Hayes
Last 9: Flynn 5-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
3
Flynn
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
0
Flynn
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
1
Flynn
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
47.5% (6,708)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
51.7% (702)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
45.3% (697)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Flynn
Hayes
Home
50.8% (661)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
48.8% (642)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Flynn
Hayes
P1
47.3%
47.5%
P2
51.8%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
47.9%
OT
58.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |