Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.7%). Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 72.6%
Defensive zone
Flynn 71.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Flynn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Flynn
Johnson
Last 10: Flynn 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Flynn
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
0
Flynn
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
6
Flynn
Johnson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
49.8% (5,396)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
54.6% (885)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
42.3% (707)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Flynn
Johnson
Home
50.8% (661)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.8% (642)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Flynn
Johnson
P1
47.3%
50.1%
P2
51.8%
50.6%
P3
50.0%
48.4%
OT
58.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |