Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 56.1% vs Smith 51.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 52.5%
Defensive zone
Flynn 86.5%
Neutral zone
Flynn 73.8%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Flynn
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Flynn
Smith
Last 6: Flynn 6-0 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
0
Flynn
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (251)
53.6% (550)
+3.0%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
53.5% (71)
+29.8%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (89)
43.5% (108)
+16.1%
On power play, Flynn has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Flynn is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Flynn shoots right. Smith is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Flynn
Smith
Home
61.0% (177)
56.5% (352)
Away
54.4% (169)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Flynn
Smith
P1
56.8%
52.0%
P2
60.0%
51.5%
P3
55.8%
52.2%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
57.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |