Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.6%). Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 75.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 62.4%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Flynn
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Flynn
Smith
Last 8: Flynn 8-0 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
0
Flynn
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
4
0
Flynn
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
51.2% (342)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
45.3% (985)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Flynn
Smith
Home
50.8% (661)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.8% (642)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Flynn
Smith
P1
47.3%
49.9%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
OT
58.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |