Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Gionta wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.0% vs Koivu 54.0% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 56.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 52.7%
Neutral zone
Gionta 51.7%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Gionta
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gionta
Koivu
Last 5: Gionta 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
0
Gionta
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gionta
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Gionta
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
54.0% (9,465)
-17.3%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
58.6% (2,100)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (135)
48.9% (1,688)
-14.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Gionta is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Gionta shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Gionta
Koivu
Home
40.4% (307)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
41.0% (295)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Gionta
Koivu
P1
37.7%
53.5%
P2
42.9%
54.6%
P3
40.7%
54.0%
OT
42.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
35.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |