Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Gionta wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.0% vs Marner 43.1% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Marner 50.3%
Defensive zone
Gionta 51.1%
Neutral zone
Gionta 51.1%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Gionta
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
42.2% (462)
-5.5%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
55.6% (18)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (135)
35.4% (65)
-1.3%
On even strength, Marner has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Gionta is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Gionta shoots right. Marner is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Gionta
Marner
Home
40.4% (307)
38.2% (293)
Away
41.0% (295)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Gionta
Marner
P1
37.7%
39.1%
P2
42.9%
41.1%
P3
40.7%
47.1%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.7%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%