Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gionta wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.0% vs Gagner 46.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 50.3%
Defensive zone
Gionta 58.0%
Neutral zone
Gionta 52.6%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Gionta
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Gionta
Gagner
Last 10: Gionta 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
5
Gionta
Gagner
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
4
1
Gionta
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Gionta
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
45.4% (4,699)
-8.7%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
51.5% (928)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (135)
35.0% (226)
-0.9%
On even strength, Gagner has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Gionta is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Gionta shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Gionta
Gagner
Home
40.4% (307)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
41.0% (295)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Gionta
Gagner
P1
37.7%
44.6%
P2
42.9%
46.1%
P3
40.7%
47.3%
OT
42.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
35.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | OT | 00:26 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 26, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |