Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gionta wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.0% vs Ott 55.4% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 84.3%
Defensive zone
Gionta 62.5%
Neutral zone
Gionta 84.0%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Gionta
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Gionta
Ott
Last 6: Gionta 1-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
0
Gionta
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
4
Gionta
Ott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Gionta
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
57.2% (2,802)
-20.5%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
55.4% (567)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (135)
49.9% (853)
-15.8%
On even strength, Ott has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Gionta is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Gionta shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Gionta
Ott
Home
40.4% (307)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
41.0% (295)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Gionta
Ott
P1
37.7%
56.7%
P2
42.9%
53.9%
P3
40.7%
55.7%
OT
42.9%
60.8%
Final 5 min
35.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |