Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Gionta wins 20.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 45.6% vs Bozak 48.8% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 71.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 52.5%
Neutral zone
Gionta 61.5%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Gionta
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gionta
Bozak
Last 5: Gionta 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Gionta
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Gionta
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
0
Gionta
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (40)
48.8% (1,036)
-11.3%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
53.8% (225)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
39.1% (138)
+10.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gionta is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Gionta shoots right. Bozak is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Gionta
Bozak
Home
41.9% (31)
50.8% (608)
Away
34.5% (29)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Gionta
Bozak
P1
35.0%
48.0%
P2
46.7%
48.1%
P3
37.5%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
38.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Gionta |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |