Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Gionta wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Gionta 86.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 89.8%
Neutral zone
Gionta 90.1%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Gionta
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Gionta
Bozak
Last 10: Gionta 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
6
Gionta
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
6
Gionta
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Gionta
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
53.7% (9,596)
-17.0%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (135)
48.0% (1,094)
-13.9%
On even strength, Bozak has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gionta is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Gionta shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Gionta
Bozak
Home
40.4% (307)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
41.0% (295)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Gionta
Bozak
P1
37.7%
53.2%
P2
42.9%
52.8%
P3
40.7%
54.5%
OT
42.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
35.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 04:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 11, 2015 | OT | 00:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Gionta |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |