Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rolston on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rolston wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rolston 44.6% vs Little 50.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 75.0%
Defensive zone
Little 78.6%
Neutral zone
Little 74.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Rolston
Little
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Rolston
Little
Last 6: Rolston 4-2 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rolston
3
1
Rolston
Little
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Rolston
Little
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rolston
1
0
Rolston
Little
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rolston
Little
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (146)
50.9% (8,646)
-9.8%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
55.5% (1,593)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
43.5% (1,406)
-4.7%
On even strength, Little has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Rolston is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Rolston shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Home / Away
Rolston
Little
Home
39.6% (106)
52.9% (5,664)
Away
44.3% (106)
48.6% (6,017)
By Period
Rolston
Little
P1
41.7%
50.9%
P2
41.0%
49.6%
P3
43.7%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
38.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rolston
50.0%▲
42.5%
42.0%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Brian Rolston |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Brian Rolston |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brian Rolston |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Brian Rolston |