Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.2%). Look for Rolston on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rolston wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rolston 49.2% vs Getzlaf 47.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rolston 52.4%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 56.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 53.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Rolston
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rolston
Getzlaf
Last 5: Rolston 3-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rolston
3
2
Rolston
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rolston
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (66)
46.8% (1,058)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
52.3% (153)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.3% (111)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Rolston is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Rolston shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Rolston
Getzlaf
Home
45.7% (35)
48.3% (694)
Away
50.0% (42)
46.1% (660)
By Period
Rolston
Getzlaf
P1
52.2%
47.8%
P2
46.4%
46.6%
P3
46.2%
47.2%
Final 5 min
27.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rolston
50.0%▲
42.5%
48.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Brian Rolston |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Brian Rolston |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Rolston |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |