Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rolston on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rolston wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rolston 44.6% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 67.6%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 74.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 68.0%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Rolston
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rolston
Getzlaf
Last 5: Rolston 3-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rolston
3
2
Rolston
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rolston
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (146)
49.6% (10,258)
-8.5%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
54.9% (1,381)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
44.8% (1,055)
-6.0%
On even strength, Getzlaf has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Rolston is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Rolston shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Rolston
Getzlaf
Home
39.6% (106)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
44.3% (106)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Rolston
Getzlaf
P1
41.7%
49.2%
P2
41.0%
50.4%
P3
43.7%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
38.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rolston
50.0%▲
42.5%
42.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Brian Rolston |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Brian Rolston |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Rolston |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |