Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.9% vs 40.5%). Boeser wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Keller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 41.6% vs Keller 42.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Keller 56.7%
Defensive zone
Boeser 52.8%
Neutral zone
Keller 51.7%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Boeser
Keller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Boeser
Keller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Keller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Keller
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (442)
41.9% (382)
-2.3%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
35.1% (94)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Keller shoots left. Boeser is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Boeser shoots right. Keller is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Boeser
Keller
Home
40.9% (242)
42.6% (230)
Away
38.9% (247)
38.5% (252)
By Period
Boeser
Keller
P1
37.2%
38.2%
P2
42.0%
44.0%
P3
40.0%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.9%
34.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
39.9%
Keller
36.0%▼
40.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Brock Boeser |