Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boeser on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boeser wins 35.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 41.6% vs Ryan 55.2% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 63.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 91.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 81.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Boeser
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boeser
Ryan
Last 5: Boeser 3-2 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
2
1
Boeser
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Boeser
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (442)
56.6% (4,102)
-17.0%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
53.2% (342)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
47.8% (649)
+2.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Boeser is 35.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Boeser shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Boeser
Ryan
Home
40.9% (242)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
38.9% (247)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Boeser
Ryan
P1
37.2%
55.1%
P2
42.0%
54.7%
P3
40.0%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
40.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
39.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Brock Boeser |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |