Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boeser wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 45.9% vs Ek 48.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 70.8%
Defensive zone
Boeser 55.9%
Neutral zone
Boeser 62.2%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Boeser
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Boeser
Ek
Last 6: Boeser 1-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
4
Boeser
Ek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Boeser
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (105)
47.2% (815)
-7.2%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
53.8% (266)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.8% (180)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Boeser is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Boeser shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Boeser
Ek
Home
40.0% (60)
49.9% (693)
Away
44.8% (58)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Boeser
Ek
P1
40.5%
46.2%
P2
50.0%
52.6%
P3
32.3%
46.5%
OT
100.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
34.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
42.4%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |