Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.9% vs Nelson 43.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Flynn 65.6%
Neutral zone
Flynn 54.2%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Flynn
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Flynn
Nelson
Last 9: Flynn 5-4 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
2
Flynn
Nelson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
2
Flynn
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (312)
42.1% (385)
+6.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
47.5% (40)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
38.5% (26)
+4.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Flynn is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Flynn shoots right. Nelson is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Flynn
Nelson
Home
46.4% (168)
43.8% (224)
Away
48.0% (221)
41.0% (227)
By Period
Flynn
Nelson
P1
43.3%
48.1%
P2
49.6%
38.4%
P3
49.2%
39.2%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |