Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Soderberg 45.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 93.2%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 52.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Nelson
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Soderberg
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Soderberg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Soderberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
46.9% (682)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
43.8% (64)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
39.9% (193)
+0.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Soderberg is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Home / Away
Nelson
Soderberg
Home
51.1% (399)
50.2% (484)
Away
45.6% (406)
40.0% (455)
By Period
Nelson
Soderberg
P1
51.8%
45.5%
P2
47.5%
44.3%
P3
46.5%
45.8%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |