Brock Nelson vs Carter Rowney

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 49.2%). Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Rowney shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Rowney 49.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor Rowney leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 69.2%
Defensive zone Rowney 68.5%
Neutral zone Rowney 52.3%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Nelson Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 7 (11 meetings)
4
7
Nelson Rowney
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Rowney

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
3
Nelson Rowney
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
3
Nelson Rowney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson Rowney
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
49.4% (924)
-1.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
40.0% (5)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
48.6% (208)
-4.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +14.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rowney
Home
50.0% (5,845)
50.4% (577)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
47.9% (560)
By Period
Nelson
Rowney
P1
48.7%
50.1%
P2
48.5%
47.9%
P3
47.7%
49.3%
OT
45.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
48.3%
Rowney
52.0%
45.0%
49.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 14, 2021 2 10:44 Offensive Carter Rowney
Dec 14, 2021 2 10:39 Offensive Carter Rowney
Dec 14, 2021 2 10:32 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 21, 2019 2 18:23 Offensive Carter Rowney
Jan 20, 2019 3 17:12 Defensive Brock Nelson
Jan 20, 2019 1 11:54 Offensive Brock Nelson
Jan 20, 2019 1 11:48 Defensive Carter Rowney
Jan 20, 2019 1 09:00 Defensive Carter Rowney
Jan 20, 2019 1 03:28 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 7, 2017 2 05:59 Defensive Carter Rowney
Dec 7, 2017 2 05:53 Neutral Carter Rowney