Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Rowney 46.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.9%
Defensive zone
Rowney 74.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Nelson
Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Rowney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
0
2
Nelson
Rowney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Rowney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
46.2% (158)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
0.0% (1)
+52.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
16.7% (6)
+11.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Rowney is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rowney
Home
49.8% (458)
46.5% (114)
Away
49.0% (506)
41.2% (51)
By Period
Nelson
Rowney
P1
50.1%
50.0%
P2
45.4%
45.1%
P3
52.7%
39.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |