Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Dewar 50.4% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 60.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Nelson
Dewar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
60.0% (10)
-10.0%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
100.0% (1)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (143)
41.7% (12)
+0.3%
On power play, Dewar has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nelson shoots left. Dewar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dewar
Home
50.4% (472)
66.7% (6)
Away
48.6% (477)
47.1% (17)
By Period
Nelson
Dewar
P1
47.2%
45.5%
P2
53.4%
55.6%
P3
47.8%
100.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
52.2%