Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nelson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 43.7% vs Moore 54.0% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.6%
Defensive zone
Moore 85.6%
Neutral zone
Moore 70.7%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Nelson
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nelson
Moore
Last 5: Nelson 3-2 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Moore
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Moore
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (385)
56.5% (561)
-14.4%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
37.5% (8)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
43.0% (79)
-4.5%
On even strength, Moore has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Nelson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Nelson shoots left. Moore is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Nelson
Moore
Home
43.8% (224)
57.1% (273)
Away
41.0% (227)
52.8% (375)
By Period
Nelson
Moore
P1
48.1%
55.7%
P2
38.4%
52.6%
P3
39.2%
55.1%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.4%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |